Contrarianism:When the opposing outcome is presumed the more plausible resultant, you are taking the contrarian view. In short, Contrarianism is the belief that the unlikely will likely occur.
Contrarianism is useful because despite man's efforts at predicting the future, events are constantly running contrary to his best forecasts. There are three major factors that cause forecasters to predict events that never occur. Those three are pride, fear, and greed.
Men have always sought to unveil the future. By being able to predict the future, one hopes to gain for himself a supernatural quality. Pride causes men to go beyond the limits of good reasoning and predict things that are unlikely to occur.
For the most part, fear confuses people's better judgment; it causes them to overstate the dangers that face them, fear causes the majority to hold on to the status quo, and the fear of losing wealth or status will induce some people to make dire predictions.
When individuals excessively desire an outcome to occur, they will often manufacture the means by which that outcome can be realized. The level of greed generally indicates how extreme the prognosticating will be.
Looking past the problems with human nature, there is another reason why mankind is continuously wrong when it comes to predicting the future. Because of the sinfulness of man, God purposely causes him to be lead astray. It says in 2 Thessalonians, "And for this cause God shall send them strong delusion that they should believe a lie: That they all might be damned who believed not the truth but had pleasure in unrighteousness." (2 THS 2:11-12)
Although the unreliability of man's prognostications about the future would cause some to pause, for contrarians that unreliability can be used as a productive forecasting tool. By simply taking the opposite viewpoint, contrarians are able to gain a better grasp of those events that are yet to occur.
Contrarianism does have its limitations. Sometimes events happen just as man expected, and sometimes events transpire in ways that are different from the positive and the opposite expectancy. Contrarian thinking, however, can be a more reliable tool in forecasting events.
Here is some Contrarian Examples from the Past
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