

Note:
I am pleased to now offer you a valley floor forecast, specific to
Crouch and the floor of Garden Valley, and a "Regional Forecast" that
will be more accurate for the upper elevations surrounding Garden
Valley, useful for those living higher up on Castle Mountain, in
Mountain Shadows, and elsewhere. Hopefully these two
very different forecasts will help overcome those forecast errors
caused by microclimate anomalies in Garden Valley that are due to
elevation differences. I think this will be a major improvement in Garden Valley forecasting.
Note: All data
values below
are in "inches." Also, these values
are hand tabulated and entered on this page, so they will
not be
updated in the same quarter-hourly cycle as the rest of the
data. I
will update this data after each significant storm when time
permits.
The
snowfall measurements are taken near the location of my
weather station
on Anderson Creek Road, so they may not match snowfall
depths in other
locations in Garden Valley, especially up the Middle Fork
drainage, and
on the mountain slopes nearby where depths twice what I show
may occur.|
Temperature: |
20.7°F (-3.8) |
|
Dew Point: |
18.0°F (-2.1) |
|
Wind Chill: |
20.7°F (-3.8) |
|
Wind Speed: |
0.0 MPH (0.0) |
|
Wind Direction: |
East |
|
Pressure: |
27.44 inHg (0.0) |
|
Rainfall Rate: |
0.00 in/h (0.00) |
|
Current Conditions: |
Heavy Clouds |
|
Time Of Sample (local): |
3 Feb 2012 7:45 PM |
Note:
These graphs may be displayed in either 24-hour or 7-day
format. If I
lose a data set due to technical problems, I will switch
back to a 24
hour format until I have at least one full day of data
history logged.
This page is still a work in progress, as is the LWC weather
program
that interfaces between this page and the weather station.
The program
is still in "Alpha" and has not yet been publicly released
for "Beta"
testing, so it still has many bugs to be found and fixed.
Periodically
the results of a bug shows up here.






Note:
Snow is an almost perfect UV reflector, so if any snow falls
and
remains on the UV detector it will not register any UV
radiation, while
in fact there may be intense radiation from the sky, as well
as
reflected upward from the surface of the snow.
Therefore, if you look at the UV Index and do not see any
indication of
UV radiation, we may still have a dangerous level of
radiation present.
So please use
care even if the UV Index shows a zero reading.
The
following
graph of "Cloud Base" elevation is the result of a totally
theoretical calculation involving the air temperature at
ground level,
current relative humidity, and the theoretical "adiabatic
lapse rate."
It assumes uniformly changing
conditions in the vertical air column, which of course is most
often
not the case, especially in mountainous regions. The
graph will still show a theoretical
cloud base even when there are no clouds in the sky. The
calculated cloud base height is simply the theoretical height,
above the
weather station, where the air temperature will have
decreased
enough
(adiabatic lapse rate) to reach the dew point. For those
living in
Garden Valley, if you look at Charter or
Garden Mountain, both about 7000' in elevation, and see clouds
touching
their
tops, and then look at the graph below, and it indicates the
cloud base
is close to 7000', then you know the atmospheric conditions
are
relatively uniform, and match the theoretical rates of change
as you
move up the air column.
I
include this graph
only for your interest.

This is a Webcam image of our horse & donkey barn, shot
from a waterproof webcam housing on the upper NE corner of my
blacksmith/decorative metalworking shop. Most of the
time there isn't a
lot to see unless we have a snowstorm or thunderstorm in
progress.
Things are usually
pretty laid back here on the ranch. The picture is taken
looking NNW up
the valley of the Middle Fork of the Payette River. If it is
winter you
may be able to see little more than piled up snow, with the
peak of the
barn
sticking out above. The snow berm can
reach 16 feet, the limit of my tractor's bucket reach.
You
can
save the videos listed below to disk and view them with your
own
viewer or watch them directly in your browser. Downloading
them to disk
first
will allow you to drag the corner of your viewer window out
to enlarge
it if you wish. The videos are between 3.0 and 12 megs in
size,
so expect a short download time depending on your connection
speed. The
video viewing time may be as short as 12 seconds for an hour
long
time-lapse sequence, to as long as 2 minutes for a full day
time-lapse
sequence. I have discontinued the hourly time-lapse videos
and am now
selecting worthwhile still image sequences to create my
time-lapse
videos from. I adjust the Gamma, compress
the video,
and even add music to some if they are good enough. I think
these
videos are much more worthwhile than the often boring hourly
time-lapse
segments.
These
newsletters
include lots of
useful weather and climate information for the average
person as well
as
the trained weather spotter. Volume 3-9, and others, contain
a link to
earlier issues of "Sage Winds" if you find these of
interest.
Yes, "Global Warming/Climate
Change"
is real, and it is
already
making profound, and possibly catastrophic, changes to our
environment
and planet. That is not disputed. The big question is the
cause,
man or nature? Here is a download link to a 1 hour and 44
minute video
recording of the May 6, 2010 Senate
hearings on the causes of Global Warming and data validity.
This is a
big video file, 536 Mb, but this hearing includes both
"sides" of the debate. You be the judge. It is a
must-see for everyone who has a vested interest in climate
change, and
that includes everyone. Download the file to
your hard disk and then view it on your Quicktime video
viewer in full
screen. The video quality is good enough to
view it full screen. If you do not have Quicktime, it is a
free download for
Mac or Windows.
This
link
is to a small 2 minute 15 second video that explains what
Global
Warming is, and its relationship to CO2.
This
dramatic
and spectacular "Extreme Ice Survey" time-lapse video was
produced by James Balog. If you have a family and children
you have a
vested interest in the future. You owe it to them to educate
yourself
about Global Warming/Climate Change. This video requires no
background
in
science for it to be stunningly clear that Global Warming is
real, and
that it is reaching critical momentum.
This
somewhat technical Web site provides
excellent and easily understood
information about Global Warming/Climate Change. This is not
an issue
to take sides on. There are no sides to this issue, there
are only the
facts. You can have those facts explained to you in clear
easy to
understand terminology in the excellent tutorials on this
site. This
site is for those who wish to fully understand the processes
involved
in Global Warming.
Perhaps not, but of all the climate change data I
have studied in my
20+ years of
carefully following Global
Warming research, perhaps the following simplistic
graph is the most
easily understood and impactful. The perfectly
in-sync CO2,
sea level, and global temperature curves, do
demonstrate
Global Warming is real. This graph goes back
400,000 years, but data,
although of less certainty, is
available that continues this graphical
relationship more than 600,000 years. Notice where
the CO2 level is
today at the extreme upper right corner of the
graph. You do not see
the sea level
and global temperature jumping up in sync on the
graph, simply because
the CO2 rise occurs in so short a time period that
the impact of the
CO2 change has not yet had time to show up in the
temperature and sea
level measurements at
the
scale of this graph.
I hope you will take the time to explore the above
and below linked
resources.
Thank you.
There is an old saying, to determine the
credibility of
your information source, follow the money trail.
Unfortunately, that is
as true in science today as everywhere else.
"Pure scientists," those
who work primarily for the love of the research
(pure science), and
have no agendas to
push, are mostly found doing research
in various
academic institutions or NASA. Compare those
with "scientists" who are
on
the
payrolls of large corporations, public
utilities, political
organizations, or other
organizations with a self interest or agenda to
push.
Think back to the
"scientists" who worked for the tobacco
companies, and their
"scientific"
data and opinions, all bought and paid for, and
all outright lies. So
it is prudent to learn
where the money is
coming from to support a particular
organization, scientist, or expert,
and often that information is carefully covered
up. The fossil fuels
corporations
and some electric utilities have
launched a huge misinformation campaign to
discredit Global Warming in
an attempt to prevent costly CO2 capture
technology installation
requirements from being enacted into law,
and there are many so called authorities, agents
of the oil or power
companies,
out there now presenting false information and
outright lies to the
public, as well as to the employees of the
companies themselves. To
follow the money trail behind many of these
climate disinformation
"experts,"
visit the following...
This link will take you to the
"Climateprogress.org"
page where you can watch an excellent video
discussion by two top level
scientists, Christopher Field and Michael
MacCracken, regarding the
possible range of impacts of Global
Warming,
the role of the IPCC, and how to maintain the
credibility of the IPCC
in the face of well funded and organized attacks
by the oil and power
industry's disinformation campaign.
The
data
source for this weather page is my "Vantage Pro2 Plus" weather
station, which is equipped with a fan aspirated temperature
sensor,
additional solar sensors, and a rain gage snow melting heater
for
winter. The weather station is located above my lower south
pasture
where there is nothing to interfere with wind or precipitation
measurements. Our location in the Central Idaho mountains has
coordinates of 44 degrees 6.703" N, 115 degrees 57.556" W, and
an
elevation of
3,051'. This is a deep snow area, so I will also be including
storm
snowfall totals, and total snowfall to date, snow
measurements.
